If you’re to believe Rasmussen Reports (and really, who doesn’t?) it’s OK to start getting giddy about Joe Sestak’s run for Senate. So get off your asses, libs!
Rasmussen’s latest telephone survey has got Specter down to his lowest level in 10 months, and Sestak at his highest. With a 5 percent margin of error, Specter leads Sestak 44%-42%.
We’ve got to mention that this is the only survey so far that shows Sestak anywhere near Specter, and we generally don’t trust Rasmussen, who last week revealed a “shock poll” showing a 2012 Ron Paul-Barack Obama presidential race as a “dead heat,” as well. This was reported in several places as news (including, now, here) and considering we’re not yet halfway through 2010, it’s hard to understand why anyone would conduct such a poll, nor is it plausible that Ron Paul could become president, in spite of his legions of fans (Yes, “The Revolution” was a great read and many parts of it made lots of sense), a broad coalition consisting of Republicans, libertarians, Tea Partiers, 9/11 Truthers, End-The-Fed advocates, a combination of these and others I didn’t mention. But we digress.
We think this poll may have something to do with the fact that the numbers consistently show Toomey leading both Sestak and Specter by the same margin (about 10 points), though when faced up against Sestak (unlike Specter), several polls are showing Toomey under the 50 percent mark, implying voters are willing to hear both these nonincumbent candidates out while they’ve already made their decision on Specter.
Five Thirty Eight has some problems with the poll, including the fact that just last week Quinnipiac showed Specter leading Sestak by 20 points, and over the 50 percent mark (Silver also notes incumbents rarely lose after hitting 50 percent in polling). This most recent poll also has a strangely small sample size (435 voters – likely voters, at that).
Quinnipiac’s questionnaire also asked the Democrat primariers whether or not their minds had been made, and fewer Specter voters were sure than Sestak voters (58%-67%), so Grandpa Specter (now with liberalism!) may not have stuffed this one in a sack after all.
There’s a month left until the primary. Both candidates have millions of dollars to work with. Bring on the misleading commercials. You know you wanna.
The debate last night between Sestak and Toomey was a yawnfest. But you know what's not boring? Sleazy political gossip and rumors!
KYW 1060 reports that the Pennsylvania Democratic Committee endorsed Arlen Specter over Joe Sestak for Senate. "A man who was a Republican just a year ago won the state Democratic committee’s endorsement for Senate. During an endorsement-eve debate, incumbent Arlen Specter said his Democratic heart beats true. “You know my record. I’ve been backed by the president because he thinks I’m a good addition to the Democratic party. I’ve been backed by the vice president, the governor, and Senator Casey because they know me and they know I share Democratic values.”"
Joe Sestak's got his problems, but at least he's focusing on the issues. Brendan Skwire says Arlen Specter is focusing on tearing down his primary opponent -- and inadvertently revealing his own shortcomings.
The Daily News reports that polling shows Republican Pat Toomey has a 14-point lead over "Democrat" Arlen Specter in the race for Specter's Senate seat: "Poll director G. Terry Madonna said that the results reflect a growing national Republican resurgence mixed with a lack of Democratic enthusiasm as the two parties battle over issues like health care and the economy. "I can't deny it's all very encouraging," Toomey said. "But I'm also very aware of the fact that the election is nine months away. A lot can happen. So I'm going to run like I'm 20 points behind." Specter, who narrowly beat Toomey in the 2004 Republican primary, declined to comment on the poll yesterday. U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak, who is leaving his Delaware County congressional seat to challenge Specter in the primary, also came up a loser against Toomey in the poll. Toomey led Sestak among registered voters by 28-16 percent with 51 percent undecided."
Yes, really: After taking heat from Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) for weeks, Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) is fighting back. “Congressman Sestak is a flagrant hypocrite in challenging my being a real Democrat when he did not register as a Democrat until 2006 just in time to run for Congress,” Specter said in a statement today. “His [...]
Arlen Specter is saying all the right things on health reform right now. But Brendan Skwire says the results of the health debate are a reminder of why primary elections matter -- and why establishment Democrats shouldn't be trusted.
Brendan Skwire has made no secret of his disdain for Arlen Specter. But before liberal Democrats rush to give their votes to Joe Sestak, Skwire wants the Pennsylvania congressman to answer a few questions.
The misleading ads have begun, and they are glorious.
You’ll never guess who’s making calls for the Dem.
The new and misleading commercial isn't so misleading. It features Bush, so it doesn't have to be.
This weekend, after Sestak's commercial linking Specter to Bush and Palin, Specter has officially fallen behind.